Latest business conversations reveal a stark divide: some stakeholders insist “the pet meals sector is in decline” and that 2025 has introduced continued demand melancholy. Others declare enterprise is steady and even enhancing. Who’s proper?
The info tells a clearer story. The market is not collapsing — it is present process a reconfiguration. The result’s modest however optimistic development, pushed by stronger efficiency amongst main producers, whereas secondary gamers face tougher circumstances. To help this, listed here are two strong and irrefutable arguments — one technical, the opposite a first-hand business assertion.
1. The INEGI Knowledge: A Technical Argument Backed by Econometrics
Mexico’s month-to-month manufacturing knowledge for canine and cat meals, printed by INEGI, reveals a transparent shift. Starting in 2022, the market skilled a two-year deceleration part, with output progressively softening. This slowdown bottomed out round September 2024, when manufacturing rebounded — a seasonal impact typical for this business.
What occurred subsequent proves crucial: the rebound wasn’t adopted by a downturn. From October 2024 by means of not less than March 2025, manufacturing has remained sturdy. A forecast mannequin based mostly on decomposition of pattern and seasonality exhibits that the 2022 slowdown is reversing — not accelerating. Whereas development stays average, the pattern route is not downward.
This aligns with the speculation that the market has accomplished a structural adjustment. The shift towards smaller canine breeds — and totally different product preferences — has already occurred. The market is now stabilizing inside this new actuality.
2. A Major Supply: Trade Confirms the Pattern
Daniel Cosío, a revered business voice, lately said in an interview that the sector grew by 6% within the first quarter of 2025. This confirms the evaluation: not all firms are struggling. Outcomes are blended, however top-tier producers are already seeing beneficial properties.
Within the Mexican pet meals market, adaptable firms are capturing new development whereas these clinging to the previous could proceed struggling.TheOtherKev | Pixabay.com
Development returns, however not for everybody
The Mexican pet meals business shouldn’t be in decline — it is shifting. Firms in a position to adapt in formulation, distribution, and breed focus are already capturing new development. These clinging to the previous could proceed feeling the downturn.
This is not a disaster — it is a sorting mechanism. The longer term belongs to those that perceive the shift and act on it.
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